Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 105.899485 117.248744 128.901346 141.733028 155.439678 169.616373 185.361080
2025-04-27 90.119164 107.318142 125.850396 147.185712 170.951167 196.495400 225.910563
2025-05-04 78.320193 99.774435 123.926435 152.833780 186.194900 223.201431 267.063114
2025-05-11 67.994662 92.359365 120.931277 156.350347 198.515743 246.564854 304.902242
2025-05-18 55.328140 80.486100 111.278061 150.833266 199.388352 256.172976 326.700996
2025-05-25 46.404848 72.081419 104.795150 148.202286 202.952028 268.436398 351.356368
2025-06-01 40.070535 66.218148 100.793851 148.028788 209.045830 283.454525 379.232668
2025-06-08 35.452545 62.095764 98.556311 149.688916 217.143705 300.794796 409.987809
2025-06-15 32.902532 60.580126 99.569613 155.444940 230.423499 324.660581 449.040942
2025-06-22 29.663440 57.640060 98.282736 157.853031 239.196212 342.827695 481.129857
2025-06-29 26.286064 54.074478 95.757771 158.269318 245.132322 357.288430 508.597203
2025-07-06 23.639432 51.354385 94.198279 159.819111 252.455582 373.508003 538.393541
2025-07-13 21.982798 50.169454 94.926676 164.751656 264.673901 396.586410 577.727234
2025-07-20 20.131918 48.439112 94.677831 168.202823 274.893805 417.204223 614.221131
2025-07-27 18.752489 47.384270 95.376040 173.003249 287.041095 440.533536 654.541430
2025-08-03 17.166294 45.746277 94.992329 176.091159 296.759984 460.696271 690.925906
2025-08-10 14.065788 40.727055 88.646306 169.704114 292.597234 461.829588 701.989846
2025-08-17 11.921638 37.280134 84.631300 166.643870 293.023298 469.083212 721.153179
2025-08-24 10.445957 35.016346 82.468513 166.349560 297.407483 481.771558 747.687348
2025-08-31 9.406149 33.564144 81.626199 168.095446 304.799059 498.694090 780.096206
2025-09-07 9.018654 33.596511 83.487561 174.308469 319.013869 525.369120 826.069476
2025-09-14 8.232826 32.529352 83.204134 176.902284 327.728490 544.335180 861.640868
2025-09-21 7.290496 30.894567 81.704326 177.344750 333.091885 558.545447 890.760237